NIGERIAN GENERAL ELECTION 2015: BEYOND PROPHECY!
If All Progressives Congress (APC) present either Owelle Anayo Rochas Okorocha (ORO) or Rt. Hon. Rotimi Amaechi as their Presidential candidate come 2015, the incumbent President Goodluck Ebele Jonathan (GEJ) is as good as gone. Many reasons abound for this simple assertion and they stand to be refuted and to do so, it must be strongly done.
The history of Nigeria will carry a wide page of Gen. Muhamadu Buhari in varying portrates - good and bad as well. I should think he was a good man with respect to the recent problem of Nigeria which is corruption. If ruling Nigeria were only for the sake of bringing down the dynasty of the dreaded malaise of corruption, I like many other Nigerians would have given it all to Gen. Buhari. However, the latest developments in the political landscape have painted him in very unacceptable image. Many of his followers and supporters are presently blind about this fact but it is as real as my life to me and yours to you my great reader. We will miss Gen. Buhari so much but I assure you his time has passed.
Alhaji Atiku Abubarkar, for me, is one of the greatest politicians grown on the soil of Nigeria but he will never become the President of Nigeria. I do not say any of these on my own as a person but as a student of this electoral locality with full understanding of the Nigerian public sphere with reference to the electorate. Atiku Abubarkar, the former Vice President of Nigeria, is a good breeder of new-age politicians and a nice negotiator. He has what it takes to be a leader of a great nation as Nigeria. However, his image was badly damaged by his former boss to the extent that even former President Obasanjo will not be able to cleanse him in the mind of the common Nigerian today. He is seen today as among the most corrupt Nigerians. This will count against him now and even in time to come. Also, the Nigeria of now is so much interested in change. They are seriously disenchanted with the old faces and are desirous of new intakes. For them, the old faces especially those who have held strong political positions in the past do not have the solution to the Nigerian problem. In fact, they are seen as the predominant portion of whatever problems Nigeria seems to have today and are therefore incompetent at solving the problems of the nation.
The most treasured doors into the most powerful Villa in Nigeria - Aso Rock - has been shut against this two great Nigerians; Gen. Buhari and Alhaji Atiku Abubarkar.
Those who say that Owelle Rochas Okorocha (ORO) - the present governor of Imo State - will fail in his home state are not totally wrong but there is only one spot where they are seriously wrong. They should also know that rural politics and metro politics are different and Imo state remains and will always be Imo state not Nigeria. Refreshing our memories on such, we remember that Obasanjo in 1999 election failed at/in his own place and we know this as true. Almost all Yoruba states disowned their own son OBJ to the point that when the rest of Nigeria voted him in against Olu Falae who was the choice of the Yoruba nation, the Yorubas in Lagos rioted. Could you imagine that?
But again, remember that today, GEJ's strong hold is South-East and he is therefore blocking the South-east chances of going to Aso Rock (only the power brokers will say yes to this point). But I tell you this today that if either ORO or Amechi is fielded in APC as a Presidential candidate, GEJ is finished. Yes! The GEJ is from South-south and it would rather have sounded more reasonable to commonsense to assert that South-south is his back-bone but the fact is that the tripod of Nigerian politics is still alive and kicking.
There are two things you need to know in order to understand this position of the writer here;
1). Igbos really do not hate APC. It only seems they hate APC because they see it as carrying out Hausa and Islamic agenda and as such is seen as an Hausa/Islamic party masquerading to hoodwink and enslave more the Igbo nation. To this end it must me resisted in any way possible and to a logical conclusion.
2). The South-south's rejection of Rotimi Amechi is based on the PDP propaganda which conjectured it and told the world that Amechi has interest in becoming the Vice President under a Northern candidate. The South-south are not fools who will throw away President for a Vice President.
Now the interpretation:
a). APC will win back the Ibos and disabuse their minds that APC is not Hausa/Islamic party once they field ORO or Amechi as their candidate.
b). Ibos will not throw away their own son ORO for GEJ no matter how bad he is.
c). Amechi would have been at par with GEJ in South-south if given the APC presidential ticket and I bet you the South-south will prefer an Amechi who they see as stronger and more vibrant to defend his position and his people to GEJ who they will only uphold as last option since they never had anyone else.
d). If this be the case in terms of either Amaechi or ORO being APC Presidential flag-bearer, then behold the calculation; either of them will have a vibrant Northerner as VP. The implication to voting is thus; The North will vote 80% to APC, the South-south will vote 55% for Amaechi (APC) and/or 45% for ORO (APC), the South-west will vote 75% for APC and the South-east will vote 50% for Amaechi (APC) and 85% for ORO (APC).
Now the rest calculation is left for you.
In the last analysis, if APC presents any other candidate apart from either Rochas Okorocha (the present governor of Imo State) or Rotimi Amechi (the present governor of Rivers State), then it will be an express giveaway to the continuity of the ruling President. If the People's Democratic Party (PDP) has any willingness or inclination towards prayers, am sure they will pray against this that the All Progressives Congress (APC) never have such idea of choice.
Do you think PDP with GEJ as their candidate will win either Rochas or Amechi as APC candidate?
What's your answer???
The history of Nigeria will carry a wide page of Gen. Muhamadu Buhari in varying portrates - good and bad as well. I should think he was a good man with respect to the recent problem of Nigeria which is corruption. If ruling Nigeria were only for the sake of bringing down the dynasty of the dreaded malaise of corruption, I like many other Nigerians would have given it all to Gen. Buhari. However, the latest developments in the political landscape have painted him in very unacceptable image. Many of his followers and supporters are presently blind about this fact but it is as real as my life to me and yours to you my great reader. We will miss Gen. Buhari so much but I assure you his time has passed.
Alhaji Atiku Abubarkar, for me, is one of the greatest politicians grown on the soil of Nigeria but he will never become the President of Nigeria. I do not say any of these on my own as a person but as a student of this electoral locality with full understanding of the Nigerian public sphere with reference to the electorate. Atiku Abubarkar, the former Vice President of Nigeria, is a good breeder of new-age politicians and a nice negotiator. He has what it takes to be a leader of a great nation as Nigeria. However, his image was badly damaged by his former boss to the extent that even former President Obasanjo will not be able to cleanse him in the mind of the common Nigerian today. He is seen today as among the most corrupt Nigerians. This will count against him now and even in time to come. Also, the Nigeria of now is so much interested in change. They are seriously disenchanted with the old faces and are desirous of new intakes. For them, the old faces especially those who have held strong political positions in the past do not have the solution to the Nigerian problem. In fact, they are seen as the predominant portion of whatever problems Nigeria seems to have today and are therefore incompetent at solving the problems of the nation.
The most treasured doors into the most powerful Villa in Nigeria - Aso Rock - has been shut against this two great Nigerians; Gen. Buhari and Alhaji Atiku Abubarkar.
Those who say that Owelle Rochas Okorocha (ORO) - the present governor of Imo State - will fail in his home state are not totally wrong but there is only one spot where they are seriously wrong. They should also know that rural politics and metro politics are different and Imo state remains and will always be Imo state not Nigeria. Refreshing our memories on such, we remember that Obasanjo in 1999 election failed at/in his own place and we know this as true. Almost all Yoruba states disowned their own son OBJ to the point that when the rest of Nigeria voted him in against Olu Falae who was the choice of the Yoruba nation, the Yorubas in Lagos rioted. Could you imagine that?
But again, remember that today, GEJ's strong hold is South-East and he is therefore blocking the South-east chances of going to Aso Rock (only the power brokers will say yes to this point). But I tell you this today that if either ORO or Amechi is fielded in APC as a Presidential candidate, GEJ is finished. Yes! The GEJ is from South-south and it would rather have sounded more reasonable to commonsense to assert that South-south is his back-bone but the fact is that the tripod of Nigerian politics is still alive and kicking.
There are two things you need to know in order to understand this position of the writer here;
1). Igbos really do not hate APC. It only seems they hate APC because they see it as carrying out Hausa and Islamic agenda and as such is seen as an Hausa/Islamic party masquerading to hoodwink and enslave more the Igbo nation. To this end it must me resisted in any way possible and to a logical conclusion.
2). The South-south's rejection of Rotimi Amechi is based on the PDP propaganda which conjectured it and told the world that Amechi has interest in becoming the Vice President under a Northern candidate. The South-south are not fools who will throw away President for a Vice President.
Now the interpretation:
a). APC will win back the Ibos and disabuse their minds that APC is not Hausa/Islamic party once they field ORO or Amechi as their candidate.
b). Ibos will not throw away their own son ORO for GEJ no matter how bad he is.
c). Amechi would have been at par with GEJ in South-south if given the APC presidential ticket and I bet you the South-south will prefer an Amechi who they see as stronger and more vibrant to defend his position and his people to GEJ who they will only uphold as last option since they never had anyone else.
d). If this be the case in terms of either Amaechi or ORO being APC Presidential flag-bearer, then behold the calculation; either of them will have a vibrant Northerner as VP. The implication to voting is thus; The North will vote 80% to APC, the South-south will vote 55% for Amaechi (APC) and/or 45% for ORO (APC), the South-west will vote 75% for APC and the South-east will vote 50% for Amaechi (APC) and 85% for ORO (APC).
Now the rest calculation is left for you.
In the last analysis, if APC presents any other candidate apart from either Rochas Okorocha (the present governor of Imo State) or Rotimi Amechi (the present governor of Rivers State), then it will be an express giveaway to the continuity of the ruling President. If the People's Democratic Party (PDP) has any willingness or inclination towards prayers, am sure they will pray against this that the All Progressives Congress (APC) never have such idea of choice.
Do you think PDP with GEJ as their candidate will win either Rochas or Amechi as APC candidate?
What's your answer???
As 2015 draws near to all Nigerians, let us think about this together.This is beyond prophesy...
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